Use trusted vendors, but don’t trust them blindly. Supply chain attacks are on the rise, and even one outside connection can let in malware, ransomware, or cause a data breach.
Check every update, ask questions, and practice how you’d respond. These kinds of attacks often strike where you’re not looking, so stay sharp.
Key Takeaways
Third-party and supply chain attack risks are growing, and often hard to spot until damage is done.
Software and hardware supply chain vulnerabilities can propagate malware, disrupt business, and expose sensitive data.
Continuous assessment, zero trust strategies, and actual incident response practice are critical to real risk reduction.
Understanding Supply Chain Attack Risks
Source: NCyTE Center
The first time we lost sleep over a supply chain attack wasn’t after reading a headline. It was after a late-night call in 2020, when a partner’s software update triggered alarms across our network.
That night we learned a tough lesson: by 2025, 45% of organizations will have experienced a software supply chain attack, and between 2021 and 2023 these attacks surged by 431%(1).
Our team had trusted the vendor for years, but that trust wasn’t mutual security. It was a wake-up call: supply chain attack risks are less about what you control, more about what you assume is safe.
Definition and Overview
What is a Supply Chain Attack?
A supply chain attack is when bad actors go after weak spots in your network, like your software, hardware, or outside partners. They don’t always break in the obvious way.
Instead, they sneak in through someone you trust, a device update, or a third-party app you use. Their goal? To ride in on trusted paths and get to your systems, data, or tools.
How Supply Chain Attacks Operate
Attackers typically:
Slip malicious code into software updates or open-source components.
Tamper with hardware or firmware before it ever arrives at your office.
Compromise contractors, service providers, or cloud vendors with weak internal controls.
Abuse unmanaged software dependencies, often hiding in plain sight.
We’ve seen it ourselves, an update from a reputable vendor flagged by our anomaly detection system.
It turned out to be a trojanized update, and the attacker’s foothold was almost invisible.
That’s how supply chain attacks work: they exploit trust, moving laterally from a compromised vendor to their real target.
Key Risks Associated with Supply Chain Attacks
If you think a supply chain attack is just a technical glitch, think again. We watched as a client’s entire production line froze for hours because of a ransomware payload delivered through an accounting software update (2).
The most chilling part wasn’t the downtime, it was realizing how easily trust could be twisted into a weapon.
Data Breaches and Intellectual Property Theft
Sensitive information, customer data, and proprietary designs can be siphoned off quietly.
When a supplier gets hacked, it can lead to stolen ideas or designs, and you might not notice right away. Sometimes, the first sign is when fake versions of your product start showing up on the market.
Malware and Ransomware Propagation
One compromised vendor update can deliver ransomware across thousands of endpoints.
Malware can spread through connected business partners in hours.
Disruption to Business Continuity
Operations can grind to a halt if a critical system or supplier is affected.
Logistics, manufacturing, and even payroll can stall unexpectedly.
Financial and Reputational Consequences
Legal fees, ransom payments, and lost revenue stack up quickly.
Brand reputation and client trust can take years to rebuild.
Regulatory and National Security Implications
Non-compliance with regulations like GDPR, HIPAA, or CCPA can mean heavy fines.
Attacks on critical suppliers, think defense or healthcare, can have national security implications.
The Expanding Attack Surface
A server room with digital clouds and data visuals highlighting supply chain attack risks in a high-tech environment.
We used to map our “attack surface” as a set of servers, endpoints, and firewalls. Now it’s a sprawling web of vendors, cloud services, and open-source components. Every integration, every dependency, is a new risk.
Software Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
On average, enterprise software projects rely on over 200 external dependencies.
A single corrupted open-source library can infect every product update downstream.
Physical Supply Chain Threats
Hardware can be tampered with during manufacturing or shipping.
IoT devices are especially vulnerable, sometimes arriving pre-compromised.
Vendor Interconnectivity and Its Risks
Smaller suppliers may have weaker security but direct access to your systems.
One weak link can expose your entire network.
We learned this firsthand when an HVAC vendor’s credentials were stolen. The attackers used their access to probe our internal systems, almost undetected.
Why Supply Chain Attacks Are Particularly Dangerous
Difficulty in Detection and Response
Supply chain attacks are hard to spot. The signals are subtle, and traditional defenses, like firewalls and antivirus, rarely pick up on malicious activity from trusted sources.
We’ve found that even with advanced monitoring, you have to look for anomalies in behavior, not just known bad files.
Broad and Long-Lasting Impact
The impact isn’t just local. Once an attacker gets in, they can move laterally, compromise many organizations at once, and stay hidden for months.
It’s a reminder of how wide today’s threat landscape really is, we still see cases where the initial compromise happened a year before anyone noticed.
Notable Examples of Supply Chain Attacks
It helps to look at what’s gone wrong elsewhere, sometimes painfully close to home.
High-Profile Cyber Incidents
SolarWinds Orion (2020): Hackers snuck malware into a software update, and it ended up hurting over 18,000 organizations.. We spent days combing through our own logs, verifying we weren’t affected.
NotPetya Ransomware (2017): Spread via a Ukrainian accounting package, shutting down operations globally.
CCleaner Compromise (2017): Millions of people downloaded a tool they thought was safe, but it had bad code hidden inside.
Recent and Emerging Threats
ASUS Live Update (Operation ShadowHammer, 2023): Hackers broke into the system that sends updates. That means users got malware directly from the real ASUS source, without knowing anything was wrong.
MOVEit, JetBrains TeamCity, Kaseya (2023–2024): Hackers found new weak spots in popular tools. These holes let them break in and cause big problems for many companies all at once.
Lessons Learned from Past Attacks
Attackers love trusted update channels.
Weaknesses in third-party risk management are common.
The impact can cascade through the entire supply chain, affecting not just one company, but everyone connected.
Strategies to Mitigate Supply Chain Attack Risks
After that 2020 scare, we stopped trusting blindly. We began demanding more from our vendors, and ourselves.
Organizational Security Measures
Supplier Security Assessment and Vetting
Conduct regular security assessments of key vendors.
Require evidence of security controls, from encryption to employee training.
Insist on third-party security audits and penetration tests as part of your security fundamentals.
Contractual Security Obligations and Compliance
Bake security requirements into contracts, incident notification, compliance with standards, data breach clauses.
Demand transparency around supply chain software components and dependencies.
Continuous Monitoring and Anomaly Detection
Use real-time monitoring tools to flag unusual activity from vendors or third-party integrations.
Set up alerts for unexpected software updates or access patterns.
Technical Defenses and Best Practices
Zero Trust Architecture Implementation
Never assume any device or user is safe, verify everything.
Limit access for third-party vendors to only what they need.
Software Bill of Materials (SBOM) Usage
Require vendors to supply an SBOM, a full list of software components, so you know exactly what’s running in your environment.
Use SBOMs to track vulnerabilities in dependencies.
Code Signing and Software Integrity Verification
Only deploy software that’s cryptographically signed.
Verify signatures before updates are installed.
Network Segmentation and Secure Build Environments
Separate vendor-connected systems from your core network.
Harden builds environments to prevent attackers from slipping in malicious code during development.
Collaborative and Incident Response Approaches
Vendor Partnerships and Threat Intelligence Sharing
Share threat intelligence and participate in joint security exercises with your suppliers.
Keep communication channels open for rapid incident response.
Developing and Testing Incident Response Plans
Build response plans specifically for supply chain breaches.
Test them, simulate a compromised vendor scenario at least twice a year.
Rapid Containment and Recovery Procedures
Have procedures for disconnecting a compromised vendor or service, quickly.
Maintain backups and recovery systems that are isolated from production.
Supply Chain Attack Risk Assessment and Tools
No assessment is perfect, but regular reviews help you catch new risks before they become disasters.
Risk Assessment Checklist Components
Inventory all vendors and integrations, including shadow IT.
Rate each supplier’s risk based on access, data sensitivity, and security posture.
Ask for proof of security certifications (SOC 2, ISO 27001, etc.).
Check for vulnerabilities in their software, firmware, or hardware.
Evaluate their incident response and notification procedures.
Software and Hardware Integrity Checks
Use automated tools to scan for tampered software packages.
Physically inspect critical hardware upon delivery.
Monitoring and Alerting Mechanisms
Set up anomaly detection for vendor-related activity.
Regularly review logs for signs of compromise.
Cybersecurity Software Solutions for Supply Chain Protection
Features to Look for in Security Tools
Automated SBOM analysis
Real-time threat intelligence feeds
Vendor activity monitoring
Anomaly detection for updates, code, and network access
Integrating Risk Assessment into Organizational Processes
Schedule regular supply chain security audits.
Update risk assessments as new vendors are onboarded or as threat intelligence changes.
Use feedback from incidents to improve policies and technical defenses.
Conclusion
Supply chain attack risks are here to stay, and the next one might come from where you least expect it. So here’s what we’ve learned:
Treat every vendor like they could be a risk, no matter how big or trusted they are. Ask for proof of their security and check in often. Don’t just focus on stopping attacks, practice what to do if one happens.
Most of all, stay alert. Trust is important, but never trust blindly. Always check, always verify, and always be ready, because sooner or later, someone will try the back door.
Hi, I'm Richard K. Stephens — a specialist in MSSP security product selection and auditing. I help businesses choose the right security tools and ensure they’re working effectively. At msspsecurity.com, I share insights and practical guidance to make smarter, safer security decisions.